I think our "stupid" mistakes are less stupid than we think. For instance, I took a math test today. On the test, I managed to see the same exact problem that I anticipated in preparation for the test. Never mind how I manage to "anticipate" that problem...
On that very problem, I made the same arithmetic error (in my head) that I did when solving it the first time around.
I guess the moral of the story is: just because something can be easily avoided, doesn't mean it will be easily avoided.
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